According to @CrypNuevo, BTC’s next move hinges on how price behaves at the range lows, with two mapped paths: a recovery from the $80k range lows or, if price accepts below $80k, a drop toward $73k followed by a recovery, using April 2025 rebounds in NVDA, GOOG, and NFLX as a market analogue (source: @CrypNuevo). For traders, $80k is the key acceptance or rejection pivot while $73k is the downside target where a reaction is expected per the author, defining directional bias and risk triggers (source: @CrypNuevo).

According to @thedaoofwei, today marks 17 years since Hal Finney started running Bitcoin, a notable date for BTC market observers; source: @thedaoofwei. In response to this anniversary post, traders can monitor BTC spot price, perpetual funding rates, aggregated open interest, and near-term options implied volatility for potential sentiment-linked shifts during today’s session; source: @thedaoofwei. Intraday risk management can prioritize the hours following the post time today as social attention clusters around commemorative mentions; source: @thedaoofwei.

According to @lookonchain, wallet bc1q57 withdrew 1,320 BTC (about $119.6M) from Binance roughly two hours ago. The Arkham Intelligence explorer link shared by @lookonchain shows the address receiving 1,320 BTC, confirming the transfer size and recent timing, according to Arkham Intelligence. Using the figures reported by @lookonchain, the move implies an approximate transfer price near $90.6k per BTC, offering a reference point for tracking the whale’s cost basis, per @lookonchain. Traders frequently monitor sustained exchange outflows as indications of reduced immediate sell-side liquidity and potential accumulation, according to Glassnode and CryptoQuant research. For trade execution and risk management, monitor BTC exchange netflow, order book depth, and funding rates to confirm whether outflows persist and how price reacts, per Glassnode and CryptoQuant.

According to the source, prediction market data on MyriadMarkets currently prices only a 20% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will set a new all-time high before July, indicating traders expect a cautious recovery rather than a broad bull run. Source: MyriadMarkets. For trading, the low ATH odds imply limited near-term upside and a higher likelihood of range-bound conditions, favoring tighter risk management and hedging over aggressive breakout momentum strategies. Source: MyriadMarkets.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, on-chain address 0xFB78AA8F38843629e89951D9db6FdC398d75e0A3 closed a 3,846.27 BTC long position worth about 350 million dollars roughly one hour ago, source: @ai_9684xtpa; HyperBot. The exit locked in a 3.609 million dollar loss over approximately 20 hours and ended an 11-trade winning streak, with the account now showing a net loss of 3.602 million dollars, source: @ai_9684xtpa; HyperBot. The trader also withdrew 31.7 million USDC in margin, and the author indicates they are unlikely to re-enter in the short term, source: @ai_9684xtpa; HyperBot. Whale-flow watchers can track any re-entry signals via the HyperBot trader page for this address, source: HyperBot.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) faced a harsh rejection near 94,000 dollars and continued to fall despite strength in the indices; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, price action above 89,500 dollars remains acceptable because two factors provide conviction: the 21-day moving average should hold as support to avoid a significant breakdown, and since the crash to 80,000 dollars the broader trend has stayed upward; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, a drop below both 89,500 dollars and the 21-day moving average would put the market in bad territory; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, while these supports hold, he does not see much trouble for the market; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 7, 2026.

According to @FarsideUK, the US WisdomTree Bitcoin ETF (BTCW) posted a daily net flow of $0 million on Jan 7, 2026, based on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF flow tracker and their X update; source: Farside Investors farside.co.uk/btc and Farside Investors X post dated Jan 7, 2026. According to @FarsideUK, a zero net flow indicates no net creations or redemptions for BTCW that day, which is a neutral ETF-driven spot BTC demand signal for this issuer; source: SEC Investor Bulletin on Exchange-Traded Funds at sec.gov and Farside Investors farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, traders should monitor whether aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF net flows turn positive or negative to assess directional pressure on BTC liquidity via ETFs; source: Farside Investors aggregate Bitcoin ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @caprioleio, institutions are once again net buyers of Bitcoin BTC based on a proprietary Capriole Fund Charts metric indicating institutional net buying, source: @caprioleio. The five prior instances cited were followed by returns of +390%, +68%, -13%, +61%, and +41%, yielding a 109% average gain, source: @caprioleio. At the current instance, BTC is up about 5% so far, source: @caprioleio. The metric is unique to Capriole Fund Charts, source: @caprioleio.

According to @BullTheoryio, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI printed 47.9, a 14-month low and below the 48.4 consensus. According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), a PMI below 50 signals contraction in manufacturing activity. According to @BullTheoryio, the ongoing downtrend suggests risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto may struggle to gain sustained bullish momentum until PMI rises back above 50.

According to the source, BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) posted its largest daily inflow in three months as crypto prices rose, source: the source. In a spot Bitcoin ETF, net creations require acquiring BTC to back new shares, making inflows a direct spot demand indicator, source: BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust prospectus filed with the U.S. SEC. Traders can monitor IBIT creations and redemptions as a near-term momentum gauge for BTC and related crypto equities, because ETF primary market activity reflects incremental demand, source: Bloomberg Intelligence ETF research on U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin surged toward $93,000 as roughly $75 million in leveraged short positions were liquidated within 60 minutes, highlighting a rapid intraday move that traders are monitoring for liquidity-driven price action; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026. According to @KobeissiLetter, BTC is now up nearly $5,000 from its Friday night low after the US began strikes on Venezuela, indicating a sharp rebound from the recent trough; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026. According to @KobeissiLetter, no additional exchange-level details, funding rate data, or open interest figures were provided with the update, limiting granularity on venue-specific flows; source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @WatcherGuru, a post on X states that Bitcoin is at 92,000 USD and provides no exchange references, charts, or verification details beyond the post itself, dated Jan 5, 2026. Source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 5, 2026, https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/2007977000196337804. Given the lack of verification in the post, this price level cannot be confirmed from this source alone; traders should independently check BTC/USD spot price and liquidity on their primary exchanges or data terminals before placing orders. Source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 5, 2026, https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/2007977000196337804.

According to @WatcherGuru, Michael Saylor hinted at buying more Bitcoin via the phrase "Orange or Green?" in an X post on Jan 4, 2026 (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026). The post provides no details on transaction size, timing, wallet evidence, or an official disclosure, so there is no verifiable buy to incorporate into pricing at this time (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026). Traders monitoring BTC should treat this as an unconfirmed signal until an official filing, company announcement, or on-chain proof is presented, as none were cited in the post (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is turning higher as broader markets move up, signaling a bullish near-term bias; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. He is watching the US market open for continuation, expecting fresh liquidity to flow into Bitcoin and support further grinding gains; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. He assumes a test of 100,000 dollars in January, defining a nearby upside target for BTC; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026. For traders, this frames the US session as a key window to monitor momentum and the 100,000-dollar level as potential resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 2, 2026.

According to @WatcherGuru, BTC closed New Year’s Eve 2025 at $87,580, down 8.4% versus 2024’s $95,650 and up 105.9% versus 2023’s $42,560 (source: Watcher.Guru). Across 2013–2025, BTC rose from $755 to $87,580, a 116.0x increase implying ~48.6% CAGR based on those year-end closes (source: Watcher.Guru). Using the provided year-end prices, BTC logged gains in 8 of 12 years (67% hit rate), with average up-year return of +284% and average down-year decline of -51.5% (source: Watcher.Guru). The largest year-end drawdowns were 2018 at -73.6% and 2022 at -66.3% from the prior year-end, while the strongest gains were 2017 at +1367%, 2020 at +302.9%, and 2024 at +124.7% (source: Watcher.Guru). Key year-end levels from the dataset for trade planning are $95,650 (2024), $87,580 (2025), $42,560 (2023), and $16,595 (2022) to frame resistance, support, and risk zones (source: Watcher.Guru).

According to CrypNuevo, record levels of Bitcoin options expired on Friday, removing the range-pinning effect and setting up a volatility expansion over the next few weeks, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28 2025. He expects a downside liquidity run to occur first as BTC breaks from the recent range, with more volatile price action likely before any sustained trend, source: CrypNuevo on X, Dec 28 2025.

According to the source, Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss said Bitcoin is Gold 2.0, reinforcing the digital gold thesis that frames BTC as a macro hedge. Source: Tyler Winklevoss public statement. Institutional research characterizes Bitcoin as a scarce monetary asset with a fixed 21 million supply, supporting the store of value trade framework used by market participants. Source: Fidelity Digital Assets, Bitcoin First report. For positioning, traders track BTC to gold correlation, which reached multi‑year highs during risk‑off periods in 2022 and is a key gauge when the digital gold narrative trends. Source: Kaiko Research, 2022 correlation analysis. BTC has historically shown an inverse relationship with US real yields, so monitoring TIPS implied real rates helps assess pressure on the store of value trade. Source: Coinbase Institutional research, 2023 macro commentary. Relative momentum can be measured via the BTC to XAU ratio using CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate alongside COMEX Gold benchmarks, with live charting available on major market data platforms. Sources: CME Group benchmarks and TradingView market data.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin (BTC) fell nearly $3,000 within about 45 minutes as approximately $70 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated, indicating a rapid leverage-driven drawdown within the session, source: @KobeissiLetter. For traders, the reported long-liquidation wave can amplify intraday downside momentum and raise short-term execution risk during volatility spikes, source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @ki_young_ju on X (Dec 26, 2025), the BTC spot market follows a sequence where price rises, then retail buys, then whales sell, then price falls, then retail sells, then whales buy, and next price rises, and he states the market is currently in the whales buy stage, which in his sequence precedes a price increase (source: @ki_young_ju on X, Dec 26, 2025).

According to @ki_young_ju, Jim Cramer is 100% bearish on Bitcoin (BTC) (source: Ki Young Ju on X, Dec 24, 2025). Documented contrarian trading against Cramer’s calls via the Inverse Cramer ETF SJIM indicates these proclamations can become tradeable sentiment signals for positioning (source: Tuttle Capital Management, SJIM fund materials). For actionable monitoring, traders can track BTC perpetual funding and futures basis for one-sided positioning and potential unwind risk around this headline (source: CryptoQuant funding/basis dashboards; CME Bitcoin futures term structure).